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American
Jewish Committee's 2006 Annual Survey of Jewish Opinion. |
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2006 Annual Survey Of American Jewish Opinion
GOP efforts to sway Jewish voters have floundered.--
Ira Forman
The American Jewish Committee's (AJC) 2006 Annual Survey of American Jewish Opinion shows that the number of Jewish voters identifying themselves as Democrats has increased from 48 percent to 54 percent since the last mid-term election in 2002. At the same time, the number of Jewish voters identifying themselves as Republicans has decreased from 18 percent in 2002 to 15 percent in 2006.
"These numbers reaffirm what we have been saying for so long. Jewish voters just don't feel comfortable with the Republican Party," said NJDC Executive Director Ira Forman. "Most recently, the Republican Jewish Coalition (RJC) spent a million dollars in a 'devoid of truth' campaign to divide the Jewish community and convince Jewish voters to switch their party affiliation. All they have to show for it is a three percent decrease in the number of Jews who consider themselves to be Republicans and a six percent increase in the number of Jews who are now Democrats. If this is what you get with $1 million in RJC ad buys, I hope that they spend $2 million in 2008."
The AJC survey also shows that the number of Jewish voters who identify themselves as liberal has increased from 37 percent in 2002 to 42 percent in 2006. In contrast, the number of Jewish voters who identify themselves as conservative has decreased from 29 percent to 25 percent during the same time period.
According to the AJC 2006 Annual Survey, Jewish voters also believe that the Democratic Party is more likely to make the right decisions about the Iraq war and terrorism, as well as ensure a strong economy.
"RJC donors are going to demand a refund when they read these numbers," Forman noted. "These non-partisan numbers don't lie. Jewish voters aren't buying what Republicans are selling."
2006 Annual Survey Of American Jewish Opinion
September 25 -- October 16, 2006-- American
Jewish Committee
Introduction
The data reported here are from the 2006 Annual Survey of American Jewish Opinion,
sponsored by the American Jewish Committee, detailing the views of American Jews about a
broad range of subjects. Among the topics covered in the present survey are the campaign
against terrorism and the war in Iraq, the Israel-Arab conflict, the attachment of American Jews
to Israel, political and social issues in the United States, Jewish perceptions of anti-Semitism,
Jewish opinion about various countries, and Jewish identity concerns. Some of the questions
appearing in the survey are new; others are drawn from previous American Jewish Committee
surveys, including the Annual Survey of American Jewish Opinion carried out in 1997, 1998,
1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, and 2005.
The 2006 survey was conducted for the American Jewish Committee by Synovate
(formerly Market Facts), a leading survey-research organization. Respondents were interviewed
by telephone between September 25 - October 16, 2006; no interviewing took place on the
Sabbath and Jewish holidays. The sample consisted of 958 self-identifying Jewish respondents
selected from the Synovate consumer mail panel. The respondents are demographically
representative of the United States adult Jewish population on a variety of measures. The margin
of error for the sample as a whole is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
A. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
1. Do you approve or
disapprove of the way the United States government is
handling the war against terrorism?
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Approve
|
31
|
Disapprove
|
62
|
Not
Sure
|
8
|
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2. Compared to one
year ago, do you feel more safe from the threat of
terrorism, less safe, or about as safe as you felt one year
ago?
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![](http://www.ajc.org/atf/cf/{42D75369-D582-4380-8395-D25925B85EAF}/Question2.jpg)
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3. Looking back, do
you think the United States did the right thing in taking
military action against Iraq, or should the U.S. have stayed
out?
|
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Right
thing
|
29
|
Stayed
out
|
65
|
Not Sure |
6
|
|
|
4. Which of these do
you think is most likely? Iraq will become a stable
democracy in the next year or two, OR Iraq will become a
stable democracy, but it will take longer than a year or
two, OR Iraq will probably never become a stable democracy.
|
|
Will
in the next year or two
|
3
|
Will
take longer than a year or two
|
27
|
Will
never become a stable democracy
|
66
|
Not
sure
|
4
|
|
|
5. Do you approve or
disapprove of the way the United States government is
handling the situation with Iran's nuclear weapons
program?
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Approve
|
33
|
Disapprove
|
54
|
Not
Sure
|
13
|
|
|
6. Would you support
or oppose the United States taking military action against
Iran to prevent it from developing nuclear weapons?
|
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Support
|
38
|
Oppose
|
54
|
Not
Sure
|
8
|
|
|
7. Do you agree or
disagree with those who claim that the West and the Muslim
world are engaged in a clash of civilizations?
|
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Agree
|
64
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Disagree
|
29
|
Not
Sure
|
7
|
B. ISRAEL
8. Do you think there
will or will not come a time when Israel and the Arabs will
be able to settle their differences and live in peace?
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![](http://www.ajc.org/atf/cf/{42D75369-D582-4380-8395-D25925B85EAF}/Question8.jpg)
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9. Do you agree or
disagree with the following statement? ?The goal of the
Arabs is not the return of occupied territories but rather
the destruction of Israel."
|
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Agree
|
81
|
Disagree
|
13
|
Not
sure
|
6
|
|
|
|
10. In the fighting
between Hezbollah and Israel in Lebanon, who emerged the
winner?
|
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![](http://www.ajc.org/atf/cf/{42D75369-D582-4380-8395-D25925B85EAF}/Question10.jpg)
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11. Do you approve or
disapprove of the way the Israeli government has handled the
conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon?
|
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Approve
|
55
|
Disapprove
|
35
|
Not
sure
|
10
|
|
|
12. Do you approve or
disapprove of the way the United States government has
handled the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in
Lebanon?
|
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Approve
|
53
|
Disapprove
|
39
|
Not
Sure
|
8
|
|
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13. Do you think that
the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon is
likely to lead to a larger war involving other countries in
the Middle East or not?
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![](http://www.ajc.org/atf/cf/{42D75369-D582-4380-8395-D25925B85EAF}/Question13.jpg)
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14. Would you support
or oppose Israel taking military action against Iran to
prevent it from developing nuclear weapons?
|
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Support
|
57
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Oppose
|
35
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Not
sure
|
8
|
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15. In the current
situation, do you favor or oppose the establishment of a
Palestinian state?
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![](http://www.ajc.org/atf/cf/{42D75369-D582-4380-8395-D25925B85EAF}/Question15.jpg)
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16. In the framework
of a permanent peace with the Palestinians, should Israel be
willing to compromise on the status of Jerusalem as a united
city under Israeli jurisdiction?
|
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Yes
|
40
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No
|
52
|
Not
sure
|
7
|
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17. In light of
recent events in the Middle East, how would you rate various
foreign governments in terms of their feelings toward
Israel, with one hundred meaning a very warm, favorable
feeling, zero meaning a very cold, unfavorable feeling, and
fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any
number from zero to one hundred. How would you rate the
government of [ ] in terms of feelings toward Israel?
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Mean Score |
a.
United States
|
77
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b.
China
|
36
|
c.
Germany
|
44
|
d.
Egypt
|
37
|
e.
France
|
30
|
f.
Turkey
|
38
|
g.
Russia
|
38
|
h.
Jordan
|
36
|
i.
Great Britain
|
65
|
j.
Syria
|
15
|
|
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18. In your opinion,
does the United Nations treat Israel fairly or unfairly in
its deliberations?
|
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Fairly
|
27
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Unfairly
|
66
|
Not
sure
|
7
|
C. NATIONAL AFFAIRS
19. I'm going to
read you a list of political views that people might hold.
They are arranged from extremely liberal to extremely
conservative. Where would you place yourself on this scale?
|
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Extremely
liberal
|
4
|
Liberal
|
26
|
Slightly
liberal
|
12
|
Moderate,
middle of the road
|
32
|
Slightly
conservative
|
10
|
Conservative
|
12
|
Extremely
conservative
|
3
|
Not
sure
|
2
|
|
|
20. In politics, as
of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat,
or an Independent?
|
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Republican
|
15
|
Democrat
|
54
|
Independent
|
29
|
Not
sure
|
3
|
|
|
21. Regardless of how
you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the
Democratic party is more likely to make the right decision
about the war in Iraq?
|
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Republican
|
22
|
Democratic
|
59
|
Both (vol.) |
2
|
Neither (vol.) |
11
|
Not sure |
7
|
|
|
22. Regardless of how
you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the
Democratic party is more likely to ensure a strong economy?
|
|
Republican
|
27
|
Democratic
|
60
|
Both (vol.) |
1
|
Neither (vol.) |
6
|
Not sure |
6
|
|
|
23. Regardless of how
you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the
Democratic party is more likely to make the right decision
when it comes to dealing with terrorism?
|
|
Republican
|
28
|
Democratic
|
51
|
Both (vol.) |
5
|
Neither (vol.) |
10
|
Not sure |
6
|
|
|
24. How serious a
problem do you think the issue of illegal immigration is for
the United States right now -- very serious, somewhat
serious, not too serious, or not a problem at all?
|
|
Very
serious problem
|
40
|
Somewhat
serious problem
|
38
|
Not
too serious problem
|
17
|
Not
a problem at all
|
4
|
Not
sure
|
1
|
|
|
25. Which comes
closest to your view about what government policy should be
towards illegal immigrants currently residing in the United
States? Should the government deport all illegal immigrants
back to their home country, OR allow illegal immigrants to
remain in the United States in order to work but only for a
limited amount of time, OR allow illegal immigrants to
remain in the United States and become U.S. citizens but
only if they meet certain requirements over a period of
time?
|
|
Deport
all
|
14
|
Remain
to work for limited amount of time
|
17
|
Remain
to work if meet certain criteria
|
66
|
Not
sure
|
3
|
|
|
26. In your opinion,
how important is it that the United States achieve energy
independence? Is it very important, somewhat important, or
not important at all?
|
|
![](http://www.ajc.org/atf/cf/{42D75369-D582-4380-8395-D25925B85EAF}/Question26.jpg)
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27. What is the best
way for the United States to handle its energy needs -- by
encouraging greater energy production, by encouraging
greater energy conservation, or by developing alternative
energy sources?
|
|
Greater
energy production
|
5
|
Greater
energy conservation
|
9
|
Developing
alternative energy sources
|
74
|
All
three (vol.)
|
11
|
Not
sure
|
2
|
D. ANTI-SEMITISM
28. Do you think
that anti-Semitism in the United States is currently a
very serious problem, somewhat of a problem, or not a
problem at all?
|
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![](http://www.ajc.org/atf/cf/{42D75369-D582-4380-8395-D25925B85EAF}/Question28.jpg)
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29. In your opinion, what proportion of each of the
following groups in the United States is
anti-Semitic: most, many, some, very few, or none?
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